The Oscars are coming Sunday, but my official ballot is already in for the office pool, so I can now give you my Oscar picks. Sadly I missed the shorts again this year, but I’ll do my best with my predictions. Feel free to post your own here, and we’ll see who does well this weekend!
I’ve been doing my best to catch up on the nominees, but there are only 5 categories where I’ve seen everything – Director, Film Editing and Sound Editing. But you know I do my homework and I never do worse than half. So listen to me now and hear me later:
Ten nominees and yes, that’s a lot ridiculous – a few of these are debatable to even be in here. But I have seen seven of them, so I’ve got a pretty good handle on the better ones. Although in my opinion the award really should go to Precious it’s clear this is a two-horse race. Avatar had some things that made it remarkable, but its lack of a decent script won’t fly. I think the driving intensity and unique perspective of The Hurt Locker will take it to the top.
I loved Colin Firth’s performance in A Single Man and think he should be recognized for it. But the Academy is all in love with Jeff Bridges this year, so he’s a lock for this category. I do plan to see Crazy Heart at some point so I’ll know what the fuss is all about.
This could be the toughest call this year. On the one hand you’ve got a great performance by the nomination queen, Meryl Streep. But on the other hand there is the woman with all the momentum – Sandra Bullock. I haven’t see The Blind Side, but I think that Sandy wins by a nose. Deep down I’m hoping for a vote split where Gabourey Sidibe jumps up for a win!
Best Supporting Actor
This is a very easy pick – Christoph Waltz all the way. Creating a Nazi character that’s charming is tough, but he pulled it off. Also he did it in 4 languages.
Best Supporting Actress
Picking anyone other than Mo’Nique to win is a fool’s game – because that woman deserves it. Although it’s too bad that it was this year, because I think Anna Kendrick did great work as well.
Her movie was great and I think Hollywood is ready to hand this award to a female director for the first time – congratulations, Kathryn Bigelow.
Best Documentary Feature
There are lot of people who saw Food, Inc. and liked it. But just as many saw it and lost their lunch. I’m going to gamble on a documentary that’s gotten good reviews and early rewards – The Cove.
Best Documentary Short Subject
Oscar ballots were out amidst the tragedy of Haiti, so my gut tells me they might feel compelled to vote for China’s Unnatural Disaster, which is about an earthquake in the Sichuan province.
Best Animated Feature
Pixar is king and delivered a stunner with Up, which also got a nomination for Best Picture. This is a (well-deserved) lock.
Best Foreign Language Film
There is only one of these films that I’ve heard talk about for months, so I’m throwing my weight behind Germany’s The White Ribbon. Too bad Broken Embraces wasn’t nominated.
Tough call here – I’m not sure how Hollywood will view the way Avatar was filmed. I’m going to say that the thoughtful camera angles of The Hurt Locker will win.
Best Original Screenplay
You’ll notice there is no nomination here for Avatar. I’m just saying. Anywho – I think this goes between The Hurt Locker and Up. The former is on my ballot, but my personal choice would be the latter.
Best Adapted Screenplay
Easy choice – I think Up in the Air had an excellent script full of sharp dialogue. This is the only award the movie will win, but I’m glad it’s getting something.
Best Visual Effects
Duh – Avatar!
Best Animated Short
I heard three words that told me what to vote for – “Wallace and Gromit.” Their latest adventure should win – A Matter of Loaf and Death.
Best Live Action Short
Not a clue. I found a trailer for Kavi, which is about an Indian boy who becomes a slave – sounds like a good emotional punch.
Best Art Direction
This is the other category I’m worried about, because it depends on how people see Avatar. I’ll go with it because of all the lovely plant life. But I’ll throw out The Young Victoria as a potential spoiler.
Best Costume Design
Period films always have the edge, so go with The Young Victoria. I’m happy to see a win for this delightful movie.
Best Film Editing
I feel like The Hurt Locker is the best choice here – it was put together in a way that the intensity doesn’t stop and that’s a sign of great editing.
Best Sound Mixing
Big explosions – Avatar.
Best Sound Editing
See above – Avatar.
Best Original Score
The score for Up was just uplifting. I say it edges out James Horner’s score for Avatar.
Best Original Song
The movie Crazy Heart is about a singer, so let’s go with the song from that movie – “The Weary Kind.”
Let’s give it to all those fun aliens in Star Trek! In another year I think this fun movie would have won a few more awards as well.
So how about you folks? How do your picks stack up? And will the co-hosts this year (Alec Baldwin and Steve Martin) swim or suck?